PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 32%Curveball 14%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 VS Victor Scott II LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.