PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 32%Curveball 13%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.