PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 31%Curveball 14%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .394
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.