PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 30%Curveball 14%Changeup 8%Sinker 3%Unknown 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CS Cam Smith RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brice Matthews RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JM Jake Meyers RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Meyers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.