PITCHER MATCHUP

PJ Poulin vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against PJ Poulin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

PJ Poulin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .365Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sweeper 31%Sinker 18%Changeup 16%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against PJ Poulin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AW Austin Wells LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-11 game page →