PITCHER MATCHUP

PJ Poulin vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against PJ Poulin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

PJ Poulin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .362Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sweeper 32%Sinker 18%Changeup 15%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against PJ Poulin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.