PITCHER MATCHUP

PJ Poulin vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against PJ Poulin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

PJ Poulin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .362Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sweeper 32%Sinker 18%Changeup 15%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against PJ Poulin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.