PITCHER MATCHUP

PJ Poulin vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against PJ Poulin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

PJ Poulin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .362Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sweeper 32%Sinker 18%Changeup 15%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against PJ Poulin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .267
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.