PITCHER MATCHUP

PJ Poulin vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against PJ Poulin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

PJ Poulin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .362Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sweeper 32%Sinker 18%Changeup 15%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against PJ Poulin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.