PITCHER MATCHUP

PJ Poulin vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against PJ Poulin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

PJ Poulin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .375Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Sweeper 31%Changeup 17%Sinker 17%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against PJ Poulin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-23 game page →