PITCHER MATCHUP

PJ Poulin vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against PJ Poulin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

PJ Poulin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .362Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sweeper 32%Sinker 18%Changeup 15%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against PJ Poulin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 654 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.