PITCHER MATCHUP

PJ Poulin vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against PJ Poulin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

PJ Poulin's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .362Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sweeper 32%Sinker 18%Changeup 15%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against PJ Poulin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 713 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 572 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.