PITCHER MATCHUP

Patrick Sandoval vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Sandoval's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Patrick Sandoval's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2024
Changeup 27%Slider 24%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 19%Curveball 6%Sweeper 5%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Sandoval, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.