RunsLeft › Pitchers › Patrick Sandoval
Pitcher · Boston Red Sox

Patrick Sandoval

LHP · Throws Left · Age 29
Model projection · strikeout prop
No graded line yet for tonight's start vs. White Sox. The projection appears when the model has a line to price.
ERA
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Drafted by the Houston Astros in 2015 (round 11), he was signed by the Boston Red Sox in free agency in December 2024. He made his MLB debut on August 5, 2019.Facts: MLB StatsAPI (people · transactions)

Tonight's Matchup

vs. White Sox · pregame

Projected xwOBA vs. White Sox current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) — season profile, not tonight's posted lineup · lineup avg .313

  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 DR Drew Romo SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Romo
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
▸ Full season matchup breakdown → · game preview

Changeup

CH · lead pitch

28% of pitches · .253 xwOBA allowed · 115 BIP · where it goes, what it costs

Pitcher Locations
where he throws it · catcher’s view
0%0%1%0%3%0%1%3%5%6%0%2%9%15%14%0%2%5%5%2%1%7%8%8%4%
Rare 0% · Common 10% · Very common 20%+
xwOBA Allowed
damage done by zone · all batters
––.689–.705––.002.353.231–.679.207.240.326–.029.496.128.000.689–.046.042.207
Cold .200 · Avg .310 · Hot .500+
Expected Damage
locations × damage zones
––.008–.020––.000.017.014–.015.019.035.047–.001.024.006.000.006–.003.003.009
Low risk · Average · High-risk zone
Changeup (28% usage) has allowed .253 xwOBA over 115 balls in play — his most-used pitch.

Arsenal

usage × whiff, ranked

7 pitch types · 1,455-pitch sample · 2024 season

Changeup CH
28% usage · 38% whiff · .253 xwOBA
Slider SL
25% usage · 22% whiff · .352 xwOBA
Sinker SI
17% usage · 14% whiff · .401 xwOBA
Four-Seam Fastball FF
16% usage · 14% whiff · .398 xwOBA
Curveball CU
9% usage · 26% whiff · .271 xwOBA
Sweeper ST
5% usage · 28% whiff · .310 xwOBA
Unknown UN
1% usage · .000 xwOBA
Hand Splits
K% + xwOBA allowed by batter side · 2024 season
SplitK%xwOBASample
vs. LHB29.1 .337 53
vs. RHB21.8 .323 297
Live · client-hydrated

Market lines

current pick’em lines by book · updates through the day

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Live · client-hydrated

DFS picks

today’s picks for this pitcher, probability-sorted · graded nightly

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