PITCHER MATCHUP

Patrick Sandoval vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Sandoval's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Patrick Sandoval's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .364vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2024
Slider 27%Changeup 26%Sinker 18%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 6%Sweeper 4%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Sandoval, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Slider (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →