PITCHER MATCHUP

Patrick Sandoval vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Sandoval's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Patrick Sandoval's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .344Seasons 2026–2024
Changeup 26%Slider 25%Sinker 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 6%Sweeper 5%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Sandoval, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .414 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 613 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →