PITCHER MATCHUP
Patrick Sandoval vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Sandoval's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Patrick Sandoval's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .351Seasons 2026–2024
Changeup 27%Slider 24%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 19%Curveball 6%Sweeper 5%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Sandoval, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MS Myles Straw RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (24% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.