PITCHER MATCHUP
Patrick Sandoval vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Patrick Sandoval's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Patrick Sandoval's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2024
Changeup 28%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Slider 22%Sinker 17%Curveball 5%Sweeper 5%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Patrick Sandoval, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 MS Myles Straw RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JS Josh Smith LHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
- Changeup (28% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.