PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 17%Curveball 15%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-23 game page →