PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 34%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 14%Sweeper 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%Slider 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.