PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .263Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 33%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 15%Curveball 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%Slider 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.