PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 18%Curveball 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.