PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 16%Curveball 15%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%Slider 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 680 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .452 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.