PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 32%Sweeper 19%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .440 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →