PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .262Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 33%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 16%Curveball 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 6%Slider 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.