PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 18%Curveball 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-30 game page →