PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .263Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 33%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 15%Curveball 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%Slider 2%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 655 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.