PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 18%Curveball 14%Cutter 9%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MB Michael Busch LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.