PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .259Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 34%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 14%Sweeper 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%Slider 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sinker (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.