PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 18%Curveball 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.