PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .263Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 33%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 15%Curveball 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%Slider 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 663 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.