PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .282Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 33%Sweeper 20%Four-Seam Fastball 16%Curveball 13%Cutter 10%Changeup 8%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dominic Smith LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.