PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .267Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 33%Sweeper 20%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 13%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Sinker (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-30 game page →