PITCHER MATCHUP

Nolan McLean vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nolan McLean's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nolan McLean's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .262Seasons 2026–2025
Sinker 32%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sweeper 17%Curveball 14%Cutter 10%Changeup 7%Slider 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nolan McLean, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Sinker (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.