PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Changeup 23%Cutter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 7%Slider 7%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.