PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Changeup 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 8%Slider 7%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .440 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TP Tristan Peters LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.