PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 23%Sinker 22%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 9%Slider 7%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EQ Edgar Quero SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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