PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 23%Sinker 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 9%Slider 7%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →