PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Changeup 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 8%Slider 7%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .371
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-27 game page →