PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Changeup 23%Cutter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 7%Slider 7%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .428 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.