PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 23%Sinker 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 9%Slider 7%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-23 game page →