PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 23%Sinker 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 9%Slider 7%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.