PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 23%Sinker 22%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 10%Slider 7%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Mitch Garver RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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