PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 23%Sinker 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 8%Slider 7%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 650 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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