PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Changeup 23%Cutter 22%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 8%Slider 7%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.