PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 23%Sinker 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 8%Slider 7%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.