PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Changeup 23%Sinker 22%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Curveball 9%Slider 7%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.