PITCHER MATCHUP

Nick Martinez vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nick Martinez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nick Martinez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 24%Changeup 23%Cutter 21%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Curveball 8%Slider 7%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nick Martinez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Sinker (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.