PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-26 game page →