PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KC Kody Clemens SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RL Royce Lewis RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BB Byron Buxton RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.