PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MV Matt Vierling RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.