PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 33%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 19%Curveball 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-02 game page →