PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Ben Malgeri SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Malgeri
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.