PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.