PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 33%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 19%Curveball 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Marcelo Mayer LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcelo Mayer
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 IK Isiah Kiner-Falefa RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isiah Kiner-Falefa
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.