PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.