PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 639 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.