PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NF Nick Fortes RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-30 game page →