PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.