PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.