PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LR Luis Rengifo SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Rengifo
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.