PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 33%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 19%Curveball 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TF Ty France RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 SS Sung-Mun Song LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sung-Mun Song
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RD Rodolfo Durán RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rodolfo Durán
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ST Samad Taylor SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samad Taylor
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →