PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LC Luis Campusano RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Campusano
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.