PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Coby Mayo RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.