PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.