PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →