PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 620 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.