PITCHER MATCHUP
Nathan Eovaldi vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AR Austin Riley RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.