PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 601 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DS Dominic Smith LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.