PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .316vs RHH xwOBA .280Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 33%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Cutter 19%Curveball 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →