PITCHER MATCHUP
Nathan Eovaldi vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MS Myles Straw RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.