PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.