PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Josh Smith LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.