PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .311vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .386
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.