PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 6%Slider 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .392
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-31 game page →