PITCHER MATCHUP

Nathan Eovaldi vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Nathan Eovaldi's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Nathan Eovaldi's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .291Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Splitter 34%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Curveball 20%Cutter 19%Sinker 5%Slider 1%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Nathan Eovaldi, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .386
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Splitter (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.