PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Keller vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Keller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Keller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .364vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 19%Sweeper 17%Slider 11%Curveball 8%Changeup 7%Cutter 5%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Keller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 AP Andy Pages RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 570 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AC Alex Call RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Call
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.