PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Keller vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Keller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Keller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .361vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 19%Sweeper 18%Slider 11%Curveball 8%Changeup 7%Cutter 4%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Keller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 AP Andy Pages RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AF Alex Freeland SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DR Dalton Rushing LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dalton Rushing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AC Alex Call RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Call
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.