PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Keller vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Keller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Keller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .362vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 19%Sweeper 18%Slider 11%Curveball 8%Changeup 7%Cutter 4%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Keller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 TS Tyler Soderstrom LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Soderstrom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MM Max Muncy RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-16 game page →