PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Keller vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Keller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Keller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .364vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 19%Sweeper 17%Slider 11%Curveball 8%Changeup 7%Cutter 5%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Keller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 TS Tyler Soderstrom LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Soderstrom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 NK Nick Kurtz LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Kurtz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW Jacob Wilson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 HB Henry Bolte RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jonah Heim SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CT Colby Thomas RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colby Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.