PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Keller vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Keller's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Keller's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .367vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sinker 19%Sweeper 17%Slider 11%Curveball 9%Changeup 7%Cutter 5%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Keller, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SL Shea Langeliers RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shea Langeliers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 HB Henry Bolte RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JH Jonah Heim SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MM Max Muncy RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DW Donovan Walton LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.