PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Bratt vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Bratt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Bratt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 39%SV 24%Slider 13%Sinker 11%Changeup 8%Curveball 5%Unknown 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Bratt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (24% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (24% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-11 game page →