PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Bratt vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Bratt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Bratt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 48%SV 22%Changeup 10%Slider 9%Sinker 8%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Bratt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.