PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Bratt vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Bratt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Bratt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 48%SV 22%Changeup 10%Slider 9%Sinker 8%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Bratt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.