PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Bratt vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Bratt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Bratt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 41%SV 23%Slider 12%Changeup 10%Sinker 9%Curveball 5%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Bratt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (23% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (23% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (23% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-17 game page →