PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Bratt vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Bratt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Bratt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 48%SV 22%Changeup 10%Slider 9%Sinker 8%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Bratt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TS Trevor Story RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.