PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Bratt vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Bratt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Bratt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 48%SV 22%Changeup 10%Slider 9%Sinker 8%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Bratt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VS Victor Scott II LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.