PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Bratt vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Bratt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Bratt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 48%SV 22%Changeup 10%Slider 9%Sinker 8%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Bratt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.