PITCHER MATCHUP

Mitch Bratt vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mitch Bratt's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mitch Bratt's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 41%SV 22%Slider 15%Sinker 9%Changeup 7%Curveball 5%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mitch Bratt, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.