PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .392
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.