PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .420Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 23%Sweeper 21%Cutter 17%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BR Ben Rice LHB .371
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AR Amed Rosario RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AV Anthony Volpe RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Anthony Volpe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JD Jasson Domínguez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jasson Domínguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-03 game page →