PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.