PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.