PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.