PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.