PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPSeasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 24%Sweeper 23%Cutter 13%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WP Wenceel Pérez SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wenceel Pérez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.