PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.