PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.