PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.