PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .347Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Changeup 23%Sweeper 21%Cutter 16%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-27 game page →