PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 652 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Josh Jung RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CS Corey Seager LHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.