PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Josh Smith LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.