PITCHER MATCHUP
Mike Paredes vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Mike Paredes's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .368Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Changeup 25%Sweeper 22%Cutter 16%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 646 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KM Ketel Marte SH .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 600 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.