PITCHER MATCHUP

Mike Paredes vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Mike Paredes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Mike Paredes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Changeup 25%Sweeper 21%Cutter 14%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Mike Paredes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →