PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Changeup 26%Cutter 15%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .441 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.