PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EQ Edgar Quero SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edgar Quero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.