PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .291vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.