PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 26%Cutter 15%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-06 game page →