PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .331Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Changeup 26%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.