PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 25%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 11%Curveball 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-25 game page →