PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 26%Changeup 25%Cutter 14%Sinker 14%Slider 11%Curveball 9%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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