PITCHER MATCHUP

Michael Wacha vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Michael Wacha's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Michael Wacha's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 27%Changeup 26%Cutter 15%Sinker 14%Slider 10%Curveball 9%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Michael Wacha, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KK Kyle Karros RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.